Passenger Forecasts for Local and Long-Distance Traffic

Intelligent insights into the number of passengers on public transport systems

Passenger analyses are not uncommon: Many transport operators already have access to various passenger data and can evaluate them according to various aspects, e.g., regarding boarding, alighting, or unusual traffic. Often, however, this is only done in retrospect. Using Artificial Intelligence, however, learning forecasts and predictions can also be made with a high degree of reliability.

Project Overview

Initial Situation

Local and long-distance transport operators collect and analyse passenger data. However, the evaluation often only results in an analysis of the past.


Predictions and forecasts of passenger volume by applying Artificial Intelligence to historical passenger data and the associated gain of knowledge as well as the targeted derivation of actions.


Arvato Systems applies machine learning methods such as autoregression analysis, parameter optimization and model aggregation to passenger data. The resulting passenger forecasts as well as trends and progressions are clearly visualized in various ways (e.g. with thermal images, trend dashboards, etc.).


Forward-looking forecasts
Bottleneck avoidance through demand-oriented vehicle deployment planning
Targeted derivation of actions

Your Contact for Artificial Intelligence

Niels Pothmann
Expert for Advanced Analytics & Artificial Intelligence